Newcastle’s return to the Premier League undoubtedly started in poor fashion as they lost their opening two matches without so much as posing a threat to Tottenham or Huddersfield, but they do seem to have found their feet a bit now.
They opened their account with a 3-0 win over West Ham at the end of August, and since then have beaten both Swansea and Stoke in the league before losing to Brighton. This puts The Magpies in a more than respectable 10th position in the table, and more importantly will have boosted their confidence enormously.
Liverpool’s confidence, on the other hand, will be on the decline at the moment. They faltered for the second time in the Champions League in midweek as they failed to beat Spartak Moscow away from home, leaving them with a poor return of two points from their two group games so far.
Last weekend they did manage a 3-2 win away to Leicester, but they have still only won one of their last six in all competitions and they have clear problems at both ends of the pitch. Attacking wise they create a huge amount of chances, but they are far too inefficient in finishing those chances off. At the other end they have shipped 19 goals in their 11 competitive games this season and kept just two clean sheets.
Both of those clean sheets came at Anfield, and they haven’t kept the opposition at bay since the end of August. Away from home they have failed to keep a single clean sheet in any competition this season and have shipped a total of 14 goals in just six matches. Considering Newcastle have scored in three of their four home games this season it looks unlikely that Jurgen Klopp will see his team pick up a clean sheet on Sunday.
Liverpool have only failed to find the net twice this season though, whilst Newcastle have conceded in five of their seven competitive outings. This makes odds of 7/10 for Both Teams to Score look attractive, so we’re backing that.
As far as the end result goes we think Liverpool are heavily underpriced here. They have won just two of their six away days this season and Newcastle have avoided defeat in three of their four at home. The hosts have also avoided defeat in five of their last six hostings of Liverpool, so backing a Newcastle Win or Draw Double Chance at 5/4 looks a great choice along with a 1-1 correct score prediction.
We’re also backing Sadio Mane to get on the scoresheet on his return to Premier League action. The winger has been out of action since his sending off against Manchester City, but prior to that he had scored in all three of Liverpool’s Premier League games and looks by far their best player at the moment.
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